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28 October 2008

New Poll on Amendment 48


If accurate, this new poll on Amendment 48 is the best news I've seen in a while:

Amendment 48 is getting clobbered by more than a 2-to-1 margin, making it unlikely that Colorado will become the first state in the nation to grant constitutional rights to a fertilized egg.

The Rocky Mountain News/CBS4 News poll showed the Personhood Amendment trailing 68 percent to 27 percent.

The bad news for the proponents of the measure can be found inside the numbers. Of the 68 percent polled who said they'd vote against the ballot measure, 61 percent fell under a "definite no" category.

With such rigidity among those saying "definite no," pollster Lori Weigel said it's pretty much a slam dunk that it will fail on Election Day.
Those results are hugely different from the late September poll by Rasmussen Reports. That poll said that 39% of likely voters were for Amendment 48, 50% were against, and 11% were unsure. (I commented on those numbers in this press release. I wonder about the cause of the difference in those numbers: Has public opinion shifted dramatically? Or did one poll use a less reliable method than the other?

Ultimately, of course, the only important polling results are the official election results of November 4th.

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